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UniversityMathsBayes’ theorem and Bayesian updating10–15 min

Bayes Lab

Set prevalence to hit a target positive predictive value, then choose a Beta prior so the posterior mean and credible interval match.

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Theory and model assumptions

Set prevalence to hit a target positive predictive value, then choose a Beta prior so the posterior mean and credible interval match.

Teacher guidance

University, Probability and Statistics

Expected time: 10–15 minutes.

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